Thursday, January 16, 2014

Stocks End Lower...S&P 500 Retreats From Yesterday's All-Time High...Solar Stocks Sizzle Again...SCTY Up 12.12%...SPWR Up 10.26%...


Five of nine
sectors
moved higher on Thursday…XLU, XLV and XLB were the strongest sectors…while
XLF
was the weakest sector. 





Breadth weakened
as
advancers led decliners 1.38 to 1
on the NYSE and 1.05 to
1
on the NASDAQ where decliners led
advancers.





Thursday – weakened, mixed


Wednesday – weakened,
advancers led


Tuesday – strengthened,
advancers led


Monday – weakened,
decliners led


Friday – strengthened,
advancers led








SPY down .24 at 184.42 volume 72.2 million shares, below average volume


VIX up .25 at 12.53…


TNX down .41 at 28.43…


TLT up .70 at 105.04...


XLF down .14 at 22.00 volume 47
million shares





AAPL down 3.11 at 554.25 volume 8.2 million shares


FB down .41 at 57.19…volume 34.5 million shares, below average volume








Technical
Commentary: 


DIA – 0.36%,
SPY – 0.13%, QQQ +
0.01%,
IWM + 0.12%.





Stocks
ended lower on Thursday’s trading session with the S&P losing 2.5
points while retreating from yesterday’s high and the DJIA losing 64.93…after
disappointing earnings reports from BBY, C, and GS.





SCTY sizzled today by breaking
horizontal resistance with a bounce and a gap up in trading today continuing on
yesterday’s trend and closed at an all-time high gaining 8.30 in
today’s session and advanced 12.12%.  SPWR also sizzled in today’s
trading and is within .15 of its previous all-time high of 35.39 made on
October 21, 2013.  SPWR gained 3.27 today
or 10.26%
on 7 million shares.











The intermediate-term trend is still
up, while the short-term trend is neutral
.





Trade with the trend, move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.





Remember it is big money
that creates and sustains the trend. 
As Granville wrote,
“technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the
footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd. 
The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly,
seeing through the maze, unconfused
by this hall of mirrors.”





Short-term
up trend Chart Targets:


SPY = 184.69, 186.06, 186.90


QQQ = 87.79, 88.74


IWM = 115.98, 116.70, 118.54





Q4 earnings season is underway.





Monday – WEN


Tuesday – JPM, LLTC, WFC


Wednesday – BAC, CSX,
FAST


Thursday – AXP, COF, C,
GS, INTC, SWKS, UNH


Friday – GE, MS, SLB,
STI





Q4 Earnings Reactions


Positive Reactions –
BAC, LLTC, WEN, MON, MU, STZ, APOL











Negative Reactions –
FAST, AA, FDO, BBBY, SCHN,





Reversal of Initial
Reaction – FDO, AA,








The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up above 80.





____________________





Setups 


H Breakout: AMGN,
BRCM, GRMN, PCLN, SNDK, SYMC, TSLA, IBM, ANGI, DDD, ESI, IBM, LNKD, QIHU, RAX, SPWR,
TSL, YOKU,


Diagonal Breakout: EBAY, MCD, VZ, TWTR,


Bull Flag: MRK,  


Potential Bullish
Divergence: 


Gap Up:


Gap Down:


Bear Flag: 


At Support: CVX,  


C- Pattern:





Moves


New Highs: ADSK, GILD, GOOG, QCOM, A, P, UAL,


Gap Up: SCTY, SPLK,          


Gap Down: C,      


H Breakout:  


Diagonal Breakout: MSFT, F,   


Breakout Test: 


Bounce: XONE,  


MACD Divergence
Bounce: 


Bear Flag: 


Support Break: WMT,  





______________________








41 out of 100 NDX
stocks closed higher
on Thursday
and two were unchanged.





Leading NDX 100 stocks included: TSLA, GILD, ILMN,
VRTX, GOLD, ALXN, BIDU, CELG, NXPI





Lagging NDX stocks included: SPLS, AVGO, CTXS,
DISH, YHOO, AMAT, EXPE, KLAC, SBUX





Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday
included: SCTY, SPWR, LNKD, XONE, SPLK, ANGI, DDD, QIHU, ESI, YOKU





Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SINA, C, FIVE, MCP, MFRM, GS





Stocks to Watch on Friday


Holding Above 30 DMA= 76


CTSH,
FISV, WDC, GOOG, ILMN, LLTC, EXPE, ADSK, ESRX, ALXN, MDLZ, YHOO,  SIAL, CMCSA, LBTYA, GMCR, STX, DTV, BRCM,
WYNN, FB, AVGO, INTC, EQIX, ORLY, ADBE, AKAM, VIAB, CA, CHKP, FFIV, PCAR, SNDK,
VRTX, XLNX, CTRX, KRFT, AMAT, CSCO, SBAC, CHTR, HSIC, SIRI, AMGN, ISRG, MU,
MYL, TRIP, BIIB, CHRW, EXPD, ADP, ALTR, AMZN, CTXS, EBAY, GILD, INTU, KLAC,
MXIM, NVDA, QCOM, SRCL, VOD, TXN, ADI, REGN, TSLA, VIP, NXPI, AAPL, CERN, GRMN,
NTAP, PCLN, SYMC





Moving Above 30 DMA = 2


CELG, GOLD





Moving Below 30 DMA = 3


LINTA, DISH, TSCO





Staying Below 30 DMA


BIDU, FAST, ATVI, PAYX, ROST, DLTR, BBBY, SPLS, FOXA, MAT, DISCA, WFM,
VRSK, NFLX, MSFT, COST, SBUX, LMCA








Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend:
Up




3-Day Short Term Market
Trend:
Up

Jobless Claims Data Only Slightly Down...Pre-Market Stock Futures Slightly Off...


BMO – ES – 3.75…and NQ – 2.50…stock
futures point to a lower open.





SPY is down .46…





XLF is down .05…


Euro is up 45 pips…


TLT
is up .42…





Follow your rules for entry and exit…and always remember to adjust stops
to protect profits also according to your rules...





Quoting Up: WDC, FFIV, CSIQ, SCTY,
UNG, FSLR, SPWR





Quoting Down:
YHOO, EBAY, ADBE, STX, FAST, AMZN, TSLA, NFLX, ROST, FB, C






Wednesday, January 15, 2014

IWM All-time High...QQQ New High Close...AAPL Jumps...BAC EPS Reaction Lifts Financials...Oil Rises...Solar Still Hot...


Six of nine
sectors
moved higher on Wednesday…XLK, XLF and XLI were the strongest sectors…while
XLE
was the weakest sector. 





Breadth weakened
as
advancers led decliners 1.86 to 1
on the NYSE and 1.84
to 1 on the NASDAQ.





Wednesday – weakened, advancers led


Tuesday – strengthened,
advancers led


Monday – weakened,
decliners led


Friday – strengthened,
advancers led


Thursday - mixed








SPY up .99 at 184.66 volume 91.5 million shares


VIX down .01 at 12.27…


TNX up .15 at 28.84…


TLT down .11 at 104.34...


XLF up .27 at 22.15 volume 61.5
million shares, above average volume





AAPL up 10.97 at 557.36 volume 13.8 million shares, above
average volume


FB down .14 at 57.60…volume 33.6 million shares, below average volume








Technical
Commentary: 


QQQ + 0.82%,
IWM + 0.75%, DIA + 0.69%, SPY + 0.54%.





IWM and QQQ make new high close while SPY closes within
3 cents of all-time high.  BAC
helped
lift financial stocks which added momentum to the broad market.





Oil prices
rose USO +0.73, +2.21% on Wednesday and airline stocks DAL -0.51, -1.59%, ALK -0.65,
-0.82%,
UAL -0.25, -0.53%
pulled back.





Social
media stocks
were led
by TWTR +5.77%, P +2.70%, ANGI +1.66%, and Z +1.19%.   Solar stocks
still had sizzle with CSIQ +5.80%, SCTY +4.50%, TSL +2.72%, AEIS
+2.61%, FSLR +1.84%,
YGE +1.74%, SUNE +0.97%
.





JPM +1.75,
+3.03%
and WFC
+0.81, +1.78%

which had neutral reactions after reporting earnings on Tuesday bounced
along with many financial stocks after BAC +0.28,
+2.27%
gapped up after reporting before
the open on Wednesday. 





LLTC +0.95,
+2.10%
which gained
+0.36, +0.80%

in after-hours on Tuesday extended gains from its positive earnings
report.





CREE +0.91,
+1.44%
gained for
the second day after selling off Monday following an analyst downgrade.  As often occurs, the downgrade was a net one
day negative impact.








The intermediate-term trend is still
up, while the short-term trend is neutral
.





Trade with the trend, move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.





Remember it is big money
that creates and sustains the trend. 
As Granville wrote,
“technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the
footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd. 
The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly,
seeing through the maze, unconfused
by this hall of mirrors.”





Short-term
up trend Chart Targets:


SPY = 184.69, 186.06, 186.90


QQQ = 87.79, 88.74


IWM = 115.98, 116.70, 118.54





Q4 earnings season is underway.





Monday – WEN


Tuesday – JPM, LLTC, WFC


Wednesday – BAC, CSX,
FAST


Thursday – AXP, COF, C,
GS, INTC, SWKS, UNH


Friday – GE, MS, SLB,
STI





Q4 Earnings Reactions


Positive Reactions – BAC,
LLTC, WEN, MON, MU, STZ, APOL











Negative Reactions – FAST,
AA, FDO, BBBY, SCHN,





Reversal of Initial
Reaction – FDO, AA,








The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up above 80.





____________________





Setups 


H Breakout: ESI,
F, FAS, LNKD, MFRM, QIHU, SCTY, YOKU, FB, GILD, GOOG, GRMN, YHOO


Diagonal Breakout:


Bull Flag: AAL, ANGI, BBRY, BX, CMG, DDD, GLD, NTES, SINA,
SOHU, SPWR, AMZN, BRCM, DISH, GMCR, MNST, MU, SNDK, TRIP,


Potential Bullish
Divergence: GOGO, NKE,


Gap Up:


Gap Down:


Bear Flag: 


At Support: ANR, CLF,


C- Pattern:





Moves


New Highs: IWM, QQQ, ADSK, AVGO, A, ATI, CRM, CSIQ, GLW,
JNPR, P, RCL, STI, SWI, SWKS, VRSN, CMCSA, CTSH, DTV, ESRX, FFIV, STX, WDC,
WYNN,


Gap Up:  BAC,
       


Gap Down:  XONE, FAST,    


H Breakout: IWM, QQQ, CRM, CSIQ, ADBE, AKAM, CMCSA, NTAP, PCLN, TSLA, TXN,


Diagonal Breakout: F,


Breakout Test: 


Bounce: SPY, ATI, C, CNX, CREE, DRYS, FAS, GS,
IBM, LVS, MCP, MFRM, RAX, SCTY, SFUN, TSL, TWTR, V, VECO, Z, ZION, AAPL, DTV, QCOM,


MACD Divergence
Bounce:  FSLR, MSFT,


Bear Flag: 


Support Break





______________________








69 out of 100 NDX
stocks closed higher
on Wednesday
and one was unchanged.








Leading NDX 100 stocks included: NTAP, CTXS, AKAM,
SYMC, FFIV, AVGO, XLNX, CHRW, MSFT, CMCSA





Lagging NDX stocks included: FAST, REGN, NFLX,
ISRG, MYL, GMCR, MU, BIDU, CELG, CHTR





Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday
included: MFRM, DRYS, MCP, CSIQ, TWTR, RAX, CNX, SCTY, WLT, CRM, SWI,
FAS, SSYS, QIHU, BBRY, ANR, TSL, VECO, P, BAC, ATI





Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: XONE, GRPN





Stocks to Watch on Thursday


Holding Above 30 DMA= 72


CTSH,
FISV, WDC, GOOG, ILMN, LLTC, EXPE, ADSK, ESRX, ALXN, MDLZ, YHOO, MNST, DISH, SIAL,
CMCSA, LBTYA, GMCR, STX, DTV, BRCM, WYNN, FB, INTC, AVGO, EQIX, ORLY, ADBE,
AKAM, VIAB, CA, PCAR, CHKP, FFIV, XLNX, VRTX, SNDK, CTRX, KRFT, AMAT, CSCO,
SBAC, CHTR, HSIC, SIRI, AMGN, ISRG, MYL, MU, TRIP, BIIB, CHRW, EXPD,
ADI, ADP, ALTR, AMZN, CTXS, EBAY, GILD, INTU,
KLAC, MXIM, NVDA, NXPI, QCOM, REGN, SRCL, TSLA, TXN, VIP, VOD





Moving Above 30 DMA =
8


AAPL, CERN, GRMN, LINTA, NTAP, PCLN, SYMC, TSCO





Moving Below 30 DMA = 3


BIDU, CELG, FAST





Staying Below 30 DMA


ATVI, PAYX, ROST, DLTR, BBBY, SPLS, FOXA, MAT, DISCA, WFM, VRSK, NFLX, MSFT,
COST, SBUX, LMCA, GOLD








Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend:
Up

3-Day Short Term Market
Trend:
Up

Stock Futures Continue Uptrend In Pre-Market...EURO Slides... TSLA Up 6.20%...Xone Down 12.06%...


BMO – ES + 4.25…and NQ + 14.00…stock
futures point to a higher open.





SPY is up .33…





XLF is up .11…


Euro is down 72 pips…


TLT
is down .30…





Follow your rules for entry and exit…and always remember to adjust stops
to protect profits also according to your rules...





Quoting Up: TSLA, CMCSA, AAPL,
STX, WDC, SCTY, SCIQ, BAC QIHU







Quoting Down:
FAST, NFLX, XONE, DDD, FIVE

Tuesday, January 14, 2014

Stocks Mega-Bounce Following Retail Sales Report...Techs Gain After INTC Upgrade...Social Media Gains...Solar Stocks Sizzle, Sizzle, Sizzle...


All nine
sectors
moved higher on Tuesday…XLK, XLB and XLE were the strongest sectors…while
XLU
was the weakest sector. 





Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 2.42 to
1
on the NYSE and 2.84to
1
on the NASDAQ.




Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led


Monday – weakened,
decliners led


Friday – strengthened,
advancers led


Thursday - mixed


Wednesday – weakened,
decliners led








SPY up 1.98 at 183.67 volume 104.5 million shares


VIX down 1.00 at 12.28…


TNX up .42 at 28.69…


TLT down .48 at 104.45...


XLF up .18 at 21.88 volume 31.3
million shares





AAPL up 10.66 at 546.39 volume 11.8 million shares


FB up 1.83 at 57.74…volume 37.4 million shares, below average volume








Technical
Commentary: 


DIA +
0.75%,
SPY + 1.09%, IWM + 1.23%, QQQ + 1.91%.





The broad
market indexes that were poised to break short-term support rocketed off
support after retail sales growth of 0.2% in December were
reported following 0.4% growth in November.  Each of the four indexes formed a large
white candle
which is a lower probability occurrence and indicates that
institutions are still net equity buyers and have a positive macro-economic
outlook.  Bonds sold off, TNX interest
rates rose and many financial moved higher.





JPM raised its rating to overweight on
INTC +1.01, +3.96% based on a stabilizing PC market.  This lifted other chip stocks SOX +11.94, +2.26% and
tech stocks in general.  AVGO, WDC,
FB, NVDA, STX, ADBE, YHOO, FFIV, TXN, KLAC, AKAM, BRCM, GGO, MSFT, EQIX, CTXS,
ADSK, and AAPL all gained more than 2%

on Tuesday.





Social
media stocks
YELP,
P, GRPN, YOKU, FB, YNDX, SINA, Z, NTES
moved higher but the hot and sizzling group
once again was solar stocks with CSIQ
+10.87%, JKS +9.38%,
TSL +6.59%, YGE +5.67%, TAN +5.30% SCTY
+4.85%, AEIS +4.75%,
SUNE +4.72% GTAT +4.58% and SPWR +4.24%
scoring big gains
.





JPM +0.04,
+0.07%
and WFC
+0.03, +0.07%

as expected by Chart Signals had neutral reactions after reporting earnings
before the open.  LLTC +0.36, +0.80% in
after-hours after a positive earnings report.





GME -9.01,
-19.88%

lowered
its quarterly guidance to $1.85 - $1.95 a share, from $1.97 - $2.14 a share.





CREE +2.19,
+3.59%
gained
after selling off Monday following an analyst downgrade.  As often occurs, the downgrade was a net one
day negative impact.








The intermediate-term trend is still
up, while the short-term trend is neutral
.





Trade with the trend, move your protective stops.  If positions were stopped out on Monday you
saw potential re-entry on Tuesday
.
Continue to follow your rules.





Remember it is big money
that creates and sustains the trend. 
As Granville wrote,
“technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the
footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd. 
The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly,
seeing through the maze, unconfused
by this hall of mirrors.”





Short-term
up trend Chart Targets:


SPY = 184.69, 186.06, 186.90


QQQ = 87.79, 88.74


IWM = 115.98, 116.70, 118.54





Q4 earnings season is underway.





Monday – WEN


Tuesday – JPM, LLTC, WFC


Wednesday – BAC, CSX,
FAST


Thursday – AXP, COF, C,
GS, INTC, SWKS, UNH


Friday – GE, MS, SLB,
STI





Q4 Earnings Reactions


Positive Reactions – WEN,
MON, MU, STZ, APOL











Negative Reactions – AA,
FDO, BBBY, SCHN,





Reversal of Initial
Reaction – FDO








The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up above 80.





____________________





Setups 


H Breakout: CTSH,
FAST, GILD, CRM, CSIQ, QIHU, IWM, V, VRSN, YELP,


Diagonal Breakout: GRMN, KLAC, F, SLB, GRPN, KKD, RAX, SPLK, SPY,
TIF, TPX, TWTR, YNDX,   


Bull Flag: AAL, ANGI, ATI, BBRY, BX, CMG, DDD, DECK, DRYS,
FAS, GS, HLF, IBM, LVS, MCP, NTES, SCTY, SFUN, SINA, SOHU, SPWR, TSL, VECO, XONE,
Z, ZION, GLD, JKS, JASO,


Potential Bullish
Divergence: FSLR, GOGO, NKE,


Gap Up:


Gap Down:


Bear Flag: 


At Support: DLTR, ANR,
MFRM,


C- Pattern:





Moves


New Highs: ADSK, AVGO, MYL, A, ALK, CRM, DAL, GLW, JNPR,
P, RCL, SMH, SWI, SWKS, UAL,


Gap Up:         


Gap Down: SSYS, GME,        


H Breakout: ADBE, REGN, TSLA, ESI, MOS, SWI, SWK, VMW,
SMH,  


Diagonal Breakout: UNG, QQQ,  


Breakout Test: 


Bounce: AAPL, NVDA, PCLN, TSLA, TXN, VOD, WFM,
XLNX, CRUS, FCX, X, YOKU,


MACD Divergence
Bounce: FIVE,


Bear Flag: 


Support Break





______________________








88 out of 100 NDX
stocks closed higher
on Tuesday and
one was unchanged.








Leading NDX 100 stocks included: REGN, ISRG, GOOG,
TSLA, PCLN, BIIB, AAPL, ILMN, ALXN, AMZN, WYNN





Lagging NDX stocks included: BBBY, GOLD





Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday
included: CSIQ, YELP, TSL, ESI, FIVE, P, SCTY, UAL, X, SPWR, GRPN,
QIHU, YOKU, CREE, DAL, SWI, JCP, KKD, YNDX, GLW, CLF, SWK, ALK, FAS, FSLR,
SPLK, SOHU, CRM, SINA, Z, BAC





Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: GME, SSYS, XONE





Stocks to Watch on Wednesday


Holding Above 30 DMA= 54


CTSH,
FISV, WDC, GOOG, ILMN, LLTC, EXPE, ADSK, ESRX, ALXN, MDLZ, YHOO, MNST, DISH, SIAL,
CMCSA, LBTYA, GMCR, STX, DTV, BRCM, WYNN, FB, INTC, AVGO, EQIX, ORLY, ADBE,
AKAM, VIAB, CA, PCAR, CHKP, FFIV, XLNX, VRTX, SNDK, CTRX, KRFT, AMAT, CSCO,
SBAC, CHTR, HSIC, SIRI, AMGN, ISRG, MYL, MU, TRIP, BIIB, CHRW, EXPD, FAST





Moving Above 30 DMA = 21


ADI, ADP, ALTR, AMZN, BIDU, CELG, CTXS, EBAY, GILD, INTU, KLAC,
MXIM, NVDA, NXPI, QCOM, REGN, SRCL, TSLA, TXN, VIP, VOD





Moving Below 30 DMA = 1


ATVI





Staying Below 30 DMA


LINTA, PAYX, SYMC, ROST, TSCO, NTAP, DLTR, BBBY, SPLS, FOXA, MAT, DISCA,
AAPL,WFM, VRSK, NFLX, PCLN, GRMN, MSFT, CERN, COST, SBUX, LMCA, GOLD








Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend:
Up

3-Day Short Term Market
Trend:
Neutral

Stocks Set To Open Higher After Retail Sales Data...JNPR Up 7.56%...


BMO – ES + 5.00…and NQ + 10.50…stock
futures point to a higher open.





SPY is up.65…





XLF is up .07…


Euro is unchanged…


TLT
is down .30…





Follow your rules for entry and exit…and always remember to adjust stops
to protect profits also according to your rules...





Quoting Up: JNPR, UNG, FAZ, SWKS, FFIV,
GOLD, NFLX, EXPD





Quoting Down:
CMG, TSLA, YELP, CREE, LNKD, ISRG, SYMC, BIIB, BIDU