Thursday, January 16, 2014

Stocks End Lower...S&P 500 Retreats From Yesterday's All-Time High...Solar Stocks Sizzle Again...SCTY Up 12.12%...SPWR Up 10.26%...


Five of nine
sectors
moved higher on Thursday…XLU, XLV and XLB were the strongest sectors…while
XLF
was the weakest sector. 





Breadth weakened
as
advancers led decliners 1.38 to 1
on the NYSE and 1.05 to
1
on the NASDAQ where decliners led
advancers.





Thursday – weakened, mixed


Wednesday – weakened,
advancers led


Tuesday – strengthened,
advancers led


Monday – weakened,
decliners led


Friday – strengthened,
advancers led








SPY down .24 at 184.42 volume 72.2 million shares, below average volume


VIX up .25 at 12.53…


TNX down .41 at 28.43…


TLT up .70 at 105.04...


XLF down .14 at 22.00 volume 47
million shares





AAPL down 3.11 at 554.25 volume 8.2 million shares


FB down .41 at 57.19…volume 34.5 million shares, below average volume








Technical
Commentary: 


DIA – 0.36%,
SPY – 0.13%, QQQ +
0.01%,
IWM + 0.12%.





Stocks
ended lower on Thursday’s trading session with the S&P losing 2.5
points while retreating from yesterday’s high and the DJIA losing 64.93…after
disappointing earnings reports from BBY, C, and GS.





SCTY sizzled today by breaking
horizontal resistance with a bounce and a gap up in trading today continuing on
yesterday’s trend and closed at an all-time high gaining 8.30 in
today’s session and advanced 12.12%.  SPWR also sizzled in today’s
trading and is within .15 of its previous all-time high of 35.39 made on
October 21, 2013.  SPWR gained 3.27 today
or 10.26%
on 7 million shares.











The intermediate-term trend is still
up, while the short-term trend is neutral
.





Trade with the trend, move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.





Remember it is big money
that creates and sustains the trend. 
As Granville wrote,
“technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the
footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd. 
The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly,
seeing through the maze, unconfused
by this hall of mirrors.”





Short-term
up trend Chart Targets:


SPY = 184.69, 186.06, 186.90


QQQ = 87.79, 88.74


IWM = 115.98, 116.70, 118.54





Q4 earnings season is underway.





Monday – WEN


Tuesday – JPM, LLTC, WFC


Wednesday – BAC, CSX,
FAST


Thursday – AXP, COF, C,
GS, INTC, SWKS, UNH


Friday – GE, MS, SLB,
STI





Q4 Earnings Reactions


Positive Reactions –
BAC, LLTC, WEN, MON, MU, STZ, APOL











Negative Reactions –
FAST, AA, FDO, BBBY, SCHN,





Reversal of Initial
Reaction – FDO, AA,








The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up above 80.





____________________





Setups 


H Breakout: AMGN,
BRCM, GRMN, PCLN, SNDK, SYMC, TSLA, IBM, ANGI, DDD, ESI, IBM, LNKD, QIHU, RAX, SPWR,
TSL, YOKU,


Diagonal Breakout: EBAY, MCD, VZ, TWTR,


Bull Flag: MRK,  


Potential Bullish
Divergence: 


Gap Up:


Gap Down:


Bear Flag: 


At Support: CVX,  


C- Pattern:





Moves


New Highs: ADSK, GILD, GOOG, QCOM, A, P, UAL,


Gap Up: SCTY, SPLK,          


Gap Down: C,      


H Breakout:  


Diagonal Breakout: MSFT, F,   


Breakout Test: 


Bounce: XONE,  


MACD Divergence
Bounce: 


Bear Flag: 


Support Break: WMT,  





______________________








41 out of 100 NDX
stocks closed higher
on Thursday
and two were unchanged.





Leading NDX 100 stocks included: TSLA, GILD, ILMN,
VRTX, GOLD, ALXN, BIDU, CELG, NXPI





Lagging NDX stocks included: SPLS, AVGO, CTXS,
DISH, YHOO, AMAT, EXPE, KLAC, SBUX





Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday
included: SCTY, SPWR, LNKD, XONE, SPLK, ANGI, DDD, QIHU, ESI, YOKU





Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SINA, C, FIVE, MCP, MFRM, GS





Stocks to Watch on Friday


Holding Above 30 DMA= 76


CTSH,
FISV, WDC, GOOG, ILMN, LLTC, EXPE, ADSK, ESRX, ALXN, MDLZ, YHOO,  SIAL, CMCSA, LBTYA, GMCR, STX, DTV, BRCM,
WYNN, FB, AVGO, INTC, EQIX, ORLY, ADBE, AKAM, VIAB, CA, CHKP, FFIV, PCAR, SNDK,
VRTX, XLNX, CTRX, KRFT, AMAT, CSCO, SBAC, CHTR, HSIC, SIRI, AMGN, ISRG, MU,
MYL, TRIP, BIIB, CHRW, EXPD, ADP, ALTR, AMZN, CTXS, EBAY, GILD, INTU, KLAC,
MXIM, NVDA, QCOM, SRCL, VOD, TXN, ADI, REGN, TSLA, VIP, NXPI, AAPL, CERN, GRMN,
NTAP, PCLN, SYMC





Moving Above 30 DMA = 2


CELG, GOLD





Moving Below 30 DMA = 3


LINTA, DISH, TSCO





Staying Below 30 DMA


BIDU, FAST, ATVI, PAYX, ROST, DLTR, BBBY, SPLS, FOXA, MAT, DISCA, WFM,
VRSK, NFLX, MSFT, COST, SBUX, LMCA








Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend:
Up




3-Day Short Term Market
Trend:
Up

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