Thursday, January 9, 2014

Broad Indexes Continue in Holding Pattern...Jobs Report Friday...AA Lower in After-hours Trading...


Five of nine sectors moved
higher on Thursday…XLV, XLU and XLP were the strongest sectors…while XLK was the weakest sector. 





Breadth strengthened as advancers
led decliners 1.13 to
1
on the NYSE and 1.06 to
1
on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers.





Thursday - mixed


Wednesday – weakened,
decliners led


Tuesday – strengthened,
advancers led


Monday – weakened,
decliners led


Friday – strengthened,
advancers led








SPY up .12 at 183.64 volume 90.6 million shares


VIX up .02 at 12.89…


TNX down .30 at 29.63…


TLT up .60 at 103.18...


XLF up .08 at 22.07 volume 29.2
million shares, below average volume





AAPL down 6.94 at 536.52 volume 9.8 million shares


FB down 1.01 at 57.22…volume 92.3 million shares, above average volume








Technical
Commentary: 


QQQ – 0.33%,
DIA – 0.10%, IWM +
0.03%,
SPY + 0.07%.





Rotational buying and selling kept the broad indexes in a short-term
neutral range for the sixth trading day of 2014
.  Five sectors were higher and four were
lower.  Advancers and decliners were near
even on Thursday. Stocks like ANGI, UAL, AAL, VECO, YNDX, DAL, RCL, BBRY,
ALK, STI, SCTY and STI
were higher while QIHU, CLF, TSL, MFRM, SINA,
WLT, X, MCP, CSIQ, DRYS, UNG ANR, TWTR, SCSS, SOHU and RAX
were lower.  The VIX confirmed the balanced market.





Markets
seemed balanced waiting the Jobs Report Friday morning and the start of
earnings season.  After the close AA -.047, -4.40% fell
in after-hours trading after reporting earnings that missed estimates.  FDO -1.37, -2.07% which reported before the open, opened almost $4
lower but rallied to close just over a dollar lower.





The overall trend is still up, while
the short-term trend is neutral
.





Trade with the trend, move your protective stops. Continue to follow your rules.





Remember it is big money
that creates and sustains the trend. 
As Granville wrote,
“technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the
footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd. 
The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly,
seeing through the maze, unconfused
by this hall of mirrors.”





Short-term
up trend Chart Targets:


SPY = 184.69, 186.06, 186.90


QQQ = 87.79, 88.74


IWM = 115.98, 116.70, 118.54





Q4 earnings season unofficially starts next Thursday,
January 9
with the AA earnings release after
the close.





Tuesday – APOL, MU


Wednesday – BBBY, MON,
SCHN


Thursday – AA, FDO,





Q4 Earnings Reactions


Positive Reactions – MON,
MU, APOL











Negative Reactions – AA,
FDO, BBBY, SCHN,











The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up.





____________________





Setups 


H Breakout: AKAM,
AMZN, BRCM, CTSH, QCOM, SYMC, ANGI, CMG, RCL, SPY, SSYS,


Diagonal Breakout: ADBE, CELG, TSLA,  


Bull Flag: INTC, GS, MCP, SFUN, SPLK,


Potential Bullish
Divergence:   


Gap Up:


Gap Down:


Bear Flag: 


At Support: ANR, WLT,
 


C- Pattern:





Moves


New Highs: ADSK, DTV, ESRX, C,


Gap Up: AAL, ALK, DAL, STI, UAL,          


Gap Down: UNG,       


H Breakout: AMGN, MYL, ZION


Diagonal Breakout: LNDK,  


Breakout Test: 


Bounce:  COST,
FAST,


MACD Divergence
Bounce: 


Bear Flag: 


Support Break: MFRM,  





______________________








40 out of 100 NDX
stocks closed higher
on Thursday.








Leading NDX 100 stocks included: COST, AMGN, AKAM,
CTRX, ESRX, DTV, ADSK, ISRG, FAST, MDLZ





Lagging NDX stocks included: BBBY, NVDA, BIDU, GOLD,
SPLS, STX, MU, FOXA, DISH, TSLA





Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday
included: ANGI, UAL AAL, VECO, YNDX, DAL, JCP, LNKD, RCL, BBRY





Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: QIHU, CLF, TSL, MFRM, SINA, WLT, X,
MCP, CSIQ, DRYS





Stocks to Watch on Friday


Holding Above 30 DMA= 72


CTSH,
FISV, INTU, WDC, GOOG, AMZN, ILMN, LLTC, EXPE, ADSK, ESRX, ALXN, MDLZ, MNST,
YHOO, DISH, SIAL, CMCSA, LBTYA, GMCR, DTV, STX, BIDU, BRCM,  WYNN, FB, AVGO, INTC, EQIX, TSLA, ORLY, ADBE,
AKAM, VIAB, CA, CHKP, FFIV, LINTA, PCAR, TSCO, SNDK, VRTX, XLNX, ADP, ATVI,
CTXS, PAYX, CTRX, KRFT, AMAT, NVDA, CSCO, SYMC, SBAC, CHTR, DLTR, ROST, HSIC,
MXIM, SIRI
, AMGN,
ISRG, MU, MYL, NTAP, QCOM, SRCL, ADI, TRIP, BIIB, CELG, TXN





Moving Above 30 DMA = 1


GILD





Moving Below 30 DMA = 5


BBBY, SPLS, FOXA, VIP, NXPI





Staying Below 30 DMA


ALTR, EBAY, MAT, DISCA, KLAC, AAPL, CHRW, EXPD, WFM, FAST, VRSK, NFLX,
PCLN, GRMN, MSFT, CERN, COST, SBUX, LMCA, REGN, GOLD





Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend:
Up

3-Day Short Term Market
Trend:
Neutral

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